Saturday, December 12, 2015

Keys to Survivor Cambodia Ep08

Tribal Reference Guide at Episode 08 Start
Orkun
Final Ta Keo Final Bayon Color for Ankgor
Abi Maria    Jeremy
Spencer      Stephen
Kelly        Kimmi
Ciera        Joe

Andrew       Keith
             Tasha
             Kelley

Name colors indicate original tribe and 2nd tribe.  Column indicates 3rd tribe.  For example, Spencer starts with Ta Keo color, then finishes with Bayon color, and is in the Ta Keo column, indicating he was on those tribes in that order.  If name is all one color, that was their original and 2nd tribe.
Complain in the comments if you have color blindness and my color scheme isn't working for you.  Don’t complain to me if you’re confused by this unless you know of a better way to show it concisely - there were lots of tribe switches through this part of the season.
Kelley has a hidden immunity idol from a clue at the original Ta Keo camp.
Jeremy has a hidden immunity idol from a clue at the new Bayon camp.
(Last Names that are often used: Kelly Wiglesworth, Kelley Wentworth, Andrew Savage, Stephen Fishbach)

Episode 08 recap (11/11/2015)
The reward challenge has random teams picked.  Paddle out, retrieve 4 puzzle cubes, bring them to the beach and arrange them vertically so that no color repeats itself on any one side.
Joe, Keith, Ciera, Kelley, Kimmi, and Kelly go on reward, which is primarily food.
Spencer, Jeremy, Stephen, Andrew, Abi, and Tasha are left behind.

Stephen wants to get rid of Joe and tries to get everyone on board.  Jeremy might have to go along with it this time.  But Andrew hears the plans.  When Joe gets back and talks to Andrew, he gets clued in to what is going on.  Andrew wants to get rid of Stephen.  Most of the main alliance considers this idea, but Spencer notes that they know what Stephen wants to do and he can’t do it without them, so he’s not actually dangerous and they should vote out Kelley or Ciera instead.  The minor alliance of girls was excited that Stephen was on the chopping block, but Joe tells the girls that the plan may have changed.

For the immunity challenge, balance a ball on a large round disk suspended over mud and attached to 2 ropes.  Periodically move further back on the ropes.  Eventually add a 2nd ball.  Joe wins individual immunity.  It is noteworthy that Keith came in 2nd.

Kelley Wentworth decides that she doesn’t want to go home tonight and suspects she is the target, so plays her very well hidden immunity idol to everyone’s surprise.  9 votes for Kelley don’t count.  Kelley, Ciera, and Abi all vote for Savage and he is effectively voted out 3-0.

Was the right person voted out?
Yes and No.  Savage is a predictable player who is too loyal to flip on people.  So if you’re the bottom 3 girls (or a fan of huge, well-timed moves), he’s a decent choice to send home.  They would have targeted one of the presumed top 4 people running the show, so the other options were Jeremy, Tasha, and either Stephen or Joe.  Joe was immune and Stephen has already been a target so might be again.  Tasha was the other potential choice, but she’s willing to work with people if the need arises.  Now, if you’re part of the main alliance, there were two much better possible outcomes.  You could have blindsided Stephen, like you all agree is a fine idea, and you would still have the numbers and would be able to vote out the girls later.  An even better idea would have been to split the votes between Kelley and Ciera.  Split votes had almost become a certainty in this game until this week.  I was shocked they didn’t do it.  The only chance for failure would have been for Kelley to play an idol and at least 1 of the main alliance to flip and work with the 3 women at the bottom.  The flip seems unlikely since they certainly showed a united front.

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